Georgia's legislative elections have been fairly under the radar. At least this year (more about that later), Georgia is a firmly red state, and an inelastic one at that. In fact, there is literally zero chance of the Republicans losing the trifecta this year, as Democrats have left a majority of seats in both chambers completely uncontested. So why am I bothering to write about this election when I haven't even lived in Georgia?
The reason is because Republicans want to be able to amend the state constitution, and they need a two-thirds supermajority to do that. Per the Atlanta Journal-Constitution article linked above, they have talked about fiscal amendments (maybe something like Prop 13 or TABOR), abortion amendments (probably personhood), pro-voucher amendments, and a proposal to separate the red northern section of Fulton County from the blue southern portion containing Atlanta.
In the 56-member Senate, the Republicans have 36 now and need 38, while in the 180-member House they have 115 and need 121.
While the Republicans are very close to 2/3, they are pretty close to maxed out already, with most of the remaining seats majority black and therefore Safe D. What's more, time is not on their side; immigrants and African-Americans are moving to Georgia in considerable numbers, and many are settling in suburban areas where Republicans are currently dominant, particularly Cobb and Gwinnett Counties. As with Texas, Latino and Asian immigration is expected to favor Democrats in the future, but black migration is the real kicker because of their unparalleled Democratic partisanship, nearly 100% citizenship rate, and relatively high turnout. So it's really now or never for the Georgia GOP.
With that, let's look at what races are competitive in each house:
